The recent momentum in Polkadot’s (DOT) price points towards a potential surge towards $4 and beyond. As interest from investors grows, the cryptocurrency displays a solid structure, while macroeconomic factors may also influence its trajectory in the months ahead.
Momentum Builds After Breakout
Polkadot (DOT) recently broke out of a descending wedge pattern on the four-hour chart, a movement often associated with trend reversals. This breakout coincided with a bounce off the support zone around $3.50, with market analysts presenting $4.50 as a realistic short-term target.
Notably, the current price action signifies a shift in sentiment, with buyers maintaining control above the critical support level of $3.64. If DOT remains above this threshold, the next key resistance is positioned at $4.40, followed by $5.02 and $5.76. A sustained recovery past these barriers could echo the strong market leadership demonstrated by Solana during the last cycle.
Upcoming ETF Decision Looms Over the Market
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed its decision on a Polkadot spot ETF to November 8, 2025, initially scheduled for June 24, 2025. Analysts from Bloomberg, including Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, estimate a greater than 90% probability of approval.
The potential influx of over $70 billion, reflecting the successes of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, could significantly affect the liquidity and price of DOT. Institutional investors have already started accumulating DOT at the end of Q3 2025, with trading models indicating professional-grade buying behavior.
Approval of an ETF, combined with a creation and redemption mechanism, is likely to reduce transaction costs, increase liquidity, and make DOT more appealing to large investors.
Network Upgrades Strengthen Bullish Outlook
Beyond immediate price targets, Polkadot’s fundamentals are undergoing notable enhancements. The deployment of Polkadot 2.0 between August and September 2025 has improved scalability, transaction speeds, and cross-chain interoperability.
Furthermore, the upcoming launch of Snowbridge in Q4 2025 will enable seamless integration of Ethereum-based assets with Polkadot, expanding its utility and appeal. These developments are accompanied by increased developer activity and the deployment of parachains, thus reinforcing the long-term value proposition of the network.
Collectively, these upgrades suggest that Polkadot is well-positioned for both institutional adoption and retail growth.
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